Market Outlook

January 17, 2025
  • BEEF
  • POULTRY
  • PORK
  • SEAFOOD
  • DAIRY
  • GRAINS & OILS
  • PRODUCE
BEEF

BEEF

Prices will remain strong through January as supplies stay tight and demand is steady. Beef production has been negatively effected in the last month by loss of slaughter days due to holidays, weather-related logistical disruptions, and negative margins, which have led to short slaughter schedules at packing plants. The net effect of these factors has led to significantly fewer loads of beef product available on the market. Demand for holiday meats has shown signs of moderation; however, demand for the remainder of the beef items remains very strong as consumers trade down to lower-value cuts. The National Restaurant Association continues to report improvements in restaurant transaction counts, which will be supportive of demand in the Foodservice marketing channel.

steady
Ribeyes:

Prices will ease to a moderate tone through the end of January, aligning with seasonal trends. Overall demand will continue to moderate in upcoming weeks, keeping prices balanced despite tight supplies.

steady
Strips:

Prices will soften over the next few weeks, following seasonal demand trends. Both retail and foodservices buyers are expected to pull back on orders, creating a more balanced market.

Lower
Tenderloins:

Prices will shift to a softer tone through the end of January, falling in line with seasonal trends. Consumer demand in January tends to shift away from high value beef items to more moderately priced items, forcing packers to adjust offers accordingly.

higher
Tri-Tips:

Prices will strengthen unexpectedly in the coming weeks as demand benefits from retail buyers trading down to moderately priced cuts.

higher
Top Butts:

Prices will remain strong through the end of January, despite typically strengthening closer to March. Retail demand will continue to drive the market for Top Butts, keeping prices well supported.

Lower
Briskets:

Prices will maintain a softer tone over the next several weeks, falling in line with seasonal price trends. Retail demand does not pick up in a meaningful way until March, leaving more product on the market to be absorbed.

higher
Flap Meat:

Prices will strengthen into late January, defying the usual seasonal trend of softening. Increased retail demand for mid-value beef items in recent weeks will allow packers to maintain firm pricing on Flap Meat.

steady
Skirt Meat:

Prices will remain steady in coming weeks, despite the seasonal trend for softening. Retail buyers and export markets will find value in skirt meat, keeping prices more supported.

higher
Inside Rounds:

Prices will maintain a strong tone through late January, defying the seasonal trend of softening. Round prices will remain strong as retail demand for roasting meats supports pricing, keeping values well supported.

higher
Ground Chuck:

Prices will remain firm over the next several weeks, defying the seasonal trend for softer prices. Chuck supplies remain tight, forcing processors to pay more for raw materials and raise prices on Ground Chuck.

higher
81/19 Ground Beef:

Prices will remain strong through the end of January, supported by recent increases in fat trimmings, which has raised the formulated cost of ground beef.

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POULTRY

POULTRY

The chicken market has been highly volatile over the past week. Supply fluctuations have caused inconsistent pricing and mixed market sentiment. Quotations for many lines appear stable, but participants are cautious, given the rapid changes in availability.

steady
WOG’s:

Out of the entire chicken market, WOG lines are the most stable. Production from major fast food- suppliers has slowed significantly, leaving adequate supplies available. Pressure is most evident for mid- sized birds, which has led to lower quotations for those sizes.

steady
Breasts/Tenderloins:

The breasts and front halves markets remain steady. Market data indicates continued premium pricing for jumbo boneless breast meat. The medium and select markets are irregularly stable, with transactional data supporting higher pricing in some cases. Tenderloins show slightly more stability than boneless breast meat, driven by consistent foodservice demand, particularly during the NFL playoffs.

steady
Wings:

The small offerings are noted as being more highly desired than the mediums or jumbos. The market remains steady.

steady
Thighs/Legs/Leg Quarters:

The bone-in back half items continue to experience fluctuating sentiments, though recent reports suggest these lines may be stabilizing. Currently, an increased call for production in Mexico is helping to absorb many fresh supplies of legs and leg quarters. Consistent retail demand also contributes to a balanced market across the bone-in back-half lines. However, market attitudes remain mixed, influenced by exposure levels and export eligibility. Thigh meat and leg meat are moving at a supportive market level, but recent input indicated that more offers are beginning to surface.

higher
Turkey Whole Birds:

As a new administration takes office, turkey buyers and sellers are working to position themselves in a competitive market. These market participants face challenges in navigating a complex landscape marked by weak demand and limited supply, which could result in unexpected price increases. Despite these obstacles, suppliers of parts and raw materials are approaching the market with confidence, while those handling frozen whole turkeys are adopting a more cautious strategy. The movement of frozen whole turkeys remains unpredictable, and pricing strategies are inconsistent. Overall, sales trends indicate that many sellers are adopting a conservative approach with their pricing, given the potential risks of slow demand. A similar mindset is evident in discussions surrounding the consumer and institutional-sized turkey breast products.

steady/higher
Turkey Breast:

Offerings of fresh and frozen breast meat are limited, but pricing is somewhat irregular. Fresh production is sold at values that range anywhere from supportive to steep premiums. Regionality and market exposure appear to play into this dynamic. Buyers searching for both fresh and frozen tenders readily acquiesce to higher asking prices, with especially firm pricing in play for the latter. Thigh meat supplies are often described as being nearly impossible to find, and spot trade seems to have ground to a standstill. Our quotations are left alone as market-changing transactional data is pursued. Trim, scapula, and wing meat are all sought after with few offerings available to meet buyer requests. Fresh and frozen MST continue to be requested items, and the lines are rated steady to full steady.

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PORK

PORK

The availability of both fresh and frozen breast meat is limited, and pricing varies significantly. Fresh product is priced at levels ranging from competitive to high premiums, with regional factors and market exposure influencing these fluctuations. Buyers seeking both fresh and frozen tenderloins are willing to accept higher prices, particularly for frozen products, where pricing remains firm. Supplies of thigh meat are reported to be scarce, and spot trade activity has slowed considerably. Our quotations remain unchanged as we await more significant transactional data. There is strong demand for trim, scapula, and wing meat, but supply remains limited and few offerings are available to meet buyer needs. Fresh and frozen MST (mechanically separated turkey) continue to be in demand, with these lines taking on a steady tone.

steady
Bellies:

Prices will continue to remain steady through the end of January, falling in line with seasonal price trends. Cold storage supplies of bellies remain tight, however demand will be modest, keeping prices in check.

Lower
Loins:

Prices will follow seasonal trends and trade with a softer tone over the next several weeks. Export demand for Loins has been slow this month, keeping prices restrained.

steady
Ribs:

Prices will continue to take on a steady tone over the next several weeks, falling in line with seasonal trends. Cold storage supplies of Ribs remain below historical levels; however, moderating demand will keep prices steady in the near term.

steady
Butts:

Prices will continue to take on a steady tone, falling in line with seasonal trends. Export demand for boneless Butts will continue to moderate in coming weeks, minimizing price gains in the near term.

steady
Hams:

Prices are expected to remain steady in the coming weeks, aligning with seasonal trends for the month. The most notable demand will come from buyers seeking to fill in gaps in both the U.S. domestic and export markets. However, supplies will be adequate to meet this demand.

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SEAFOOD

SEAFOOD

Seasonal changes and yields are affecting the outlook of seafood.

steady
Blue Swimming Crab:

The market for blue swimming crab remains steady and supplies remain adequate to meet fair to moderate demand. Pricing and availability of small-sized crab meat continue to vary significantly between sellers, depending on their individual inventory levels.

higher
Farmed White Shrimp:

The shrimp market maintains a somewhat firm undertone due to the ongoing complexities between origin markets and U.S. trading conditions. While Ecuadorian suppliers have increased their presence with HSLO and HOSO offerings at slightly lower levels, these adjustments appear insufficient to significantly affect the U.S. market structure. Reports from Asian origins indicate particular tightness in smaller sizes.

higher
Farmed Black Tiger Shrimp:

The overall price structure remains unchanged, although larger sizes continue to show a firm bias due to ongoing supply considerations. Available inventory remains selective, particularly for premium sizes.

Lower
Wild Gulf of Mexico Shrimp:

The price structure remains stable, with a firm undertone as market levels continue to stabilize.

steady
Warm Water Lobster Tails:

Recent reports indicate that the pricing for warm water lobster tails has remained steady. Short Term: Prices are stable

steady
Cold Water Lobsters:

The wholesale market for North American frozen lobster tails has remained steady. Reports within the last week indicate that prices have remained flat, with no significant increases. Short Term: Prices are stable

higher
Lobster Meat:

The U.S. wholesale prices for lobster meat have increased due to ongoing supply constraints. The market is currently facing supply challenges for cold-water lobster meat. These constraints are contributing to the upward pressure on prices. Short Term Prices are increasing

higher
Canadian Snow Crab:

The Canadian snow crab market has experienced notable price increases over the past year. Several factors have contributed to this trend. The 2024 Canadian snow crab season began with prices in April up 19% compared to 2023 and remained flat until September. By fall, inventories were limited, driving prices at the end of November over 45% higher compared to 2023. Snow crab is expected to be in short supply. Short Term: Price Increasing

higher
Ahi/Yellow Fin Tuna:

The price index for frozen Yellowfin tuna has shown fluctuations over the past week, reflecting dynamic market conditions. Consumer preferences, particularly in the sashimi and sushi markets, drive demand for high-quality Ahi and Yellowfin tuna. This demand influences pricing and availability in the wholesale market. International regulations and quotas on tuna fishing affect the supply chain, potentially leading to price volatility. Short Term : Prices are increasing

higher
Pangasius/Swai/Basa:

The wholesale market for Pangasius (Swai/Basa) has recently seen significant changes in pricing, supply, and demand, particularly regarding exports to key markets like the U.S. and China. Demand for Pangasius remains strong, especially within the U.S. retail and hospitality sectors, where it is considered an affordable alternative to other whitefish. Exports to the U.S. have surged, with a notable 61% increase in frozen fillet exports recorded in mid-2024. The pricing for Pangasius fillets has been rising due to strong demand in both the U.S. and China. Short-term supply constraints are expected to keep prices elevated.
Short Term: Prices are increasing.

higher
Keta Salmon:

Keta salmon is generally priced lower than other salmon species, making it an attractive option for buyers seeking more affordable alternatives. Specific pricing for Keta salmon can vary based on factors such as quality, size, and supplier. Prices for other types of salmon remain high, positioning Keta salmon as a more economical choice in the current market with 4/6/8oz fillets with inventory available for Lent. Short Term: Price increasing

higher
Chilean Salmon:

This week, the price of Chilean salmon has increased across key markets, including the United States, Brazil, and China. The supply of frozen Chilean salmon is currently strained, contributing to the rise in prices. Buyers should monitor these developments closely to navigate the market effectively. Short Term: Price Increasing

higher
Norwegian Salmon:

The market is showing a small slow down of demand on Norwegian Salmon after the holiday season, but should trend up with demand for Lent. Short Term: Price Increasing

steady
Tilapia Fillets:

The price of frozen tilapia fillets has increased due to supply constraints and increased demand. While inventory levels remain stable, the market is expected to face tight supply conditions in the first half of 2025. Buyers should monitor these developments closely to navigate the market effectively.
Short term: Steady Price

steady
Catfish:

With lower production during the holidays and many fish in ponds being smaller, sizes aren’t as prevalent as we’d like, especially for whole fish. Production is ramping up after the holidays, and we don’t anticipate any significant price changes. We are expecting seasonal weather, which may occasionally impact production. Some inventory is being sold at lower costs going into the new year, but this has slowed down recently. Overall, the market remains steady.

steady
Scallops:

Although landings have been low, the mix of scallops is improving and prices are stabilizing. Buyers can continue to purchase with confidence, as the quality remains excellent. Prices remain steady.

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DAIRY

DAIRY

Weekly milk production reports have shown steady to higher output across the country, even in the face of ongoing HPAI in California and frigid winter temps throughout much of the US.

The shell egg market continued to forge to new all time highs this past week, finding support from the ongoing spread of HPAI across the country.

steady
Milk / Cream:

Weekly milk production reports have shown steady to higher output across the country, even in the face of ongoing HPAI in California and frigid winter temps throughout much of the US. So far in 2025, there has been a dramatic slowdown in new HPAI cases in California, which should help bolster January volumes. When combined with improved herd sizes across the rest of the country, and strong milk components, milk volumes are noting improvements. However, nearby demand from bottlers gearing up for schools reopening and strong demand into cheese plants have tightened up spot milk availability. On the cream side, strong milk fat tests have continued to bring an abundance of cream to the market as supplies are burdensome and have weighed on multiples.

steady
Butter:

The butter market is slightly lower this week, but remains heavily entrenched in the recent narrow trading range. The combination of renewed buying interest is competing with solid production schedules and cheap cream availability. Despite a large 12.3% YOY decline in California’s November butter production, the rest of the county continues to churn at elevated rates and pushed national output 4.4% higher than last year. Even with record domestic demand, the market remains comfortable into Q1. The seasonal trend points towards rebounding output through Q1, which is certainly the expectation this year as well. When combined with strong butterfat content, cream is readily available at cheap multiples and should encourage strong churn rates.

steady
Cheese:

Cheese prices came under pressure this past week as buyers and sellers got back into the swing of things post-holidays. A return to normal production schedules weighed on the market despite disappointing November production and cold storage reports. The market is still trending towards increased production in 2025, and expectations for small increases in milk production are keeping a lid on cheese values. When combined with the improved milk supply and milk components, the trade remains comfortable with nearby supply of fluid milk and butterfat. Domestically, demand has been mixed and should allow stocks to seasonally rebound in the coming months, even in the face of strong cheese sales. Forward export sales could still face headwinds from potential trade wars and improved supply in major exporting regions.

steady/higher
Shell Eggs:

The shell egg market continued to forge to new all time highs this past week, finding support from the ongoing spread of HPAI across the country. There were 2 additional laying flock outbreaks in North Carolina (2.77 mil. layers) and Ohio (245k layers) this past week. Since December there have been 17.2 million layers removed from production across the country. As a result, the smaller flock sizes due to HPAI outbreaks have greatly limited the amount of shell eggs coming to market, keeping competition firm and prices well supported. Longer term, producer margins are still solid due to the lower YOY feed costs and record high shell egg values, and should drive flock expansion into 2025. Conventional shell egg inventories are still well below prior year levels, while cage free inventories remain near their highest levels since May. Conventional shell egg prices were higher this past week to a new record, while cage free shell egg values finished unchanged at the recent record high prices.

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GRAINS & OILS

GRAINS & OILS

The grain and oilseed markets traded higher following the bullish USDA reports last week. Some of the largest production misses on record vs. trade expectations tightened up the corn and soybean balance sheets more than anticipated and have raised the floor on just how cheap these markets can get. These markets are giving back some of the recent rally, but Friday’s 276 million bushel reduction to 24/25 corn production and 95 mil. bu. cut to US soybean production, have changed long term value considerations. While wheat balance sheets were essentially unchanged, its recent strength has been tied to the rally in corn prices pushing wheat back into feed rations and driving some nearby demand. Globally, wheat is also finding support from the much anticipated slowdown in Black Sea exports in the coming months and the potential for new U.S. export demand as a result. However, with slower global order interest this has yet to be seen and wheat values remain rangebound. Down in South America, recent hot and dry weather in Argentina has added risk premium into the corn and soybean markets, while the coming weeks are expected to provide some much needed moisture. Brazil is just starting what should be a record soybean harvest and will likely limit how competitive the U.S. can be into the world market.

steady/higher
Soybean Oil:

Soybean oil prices were sharply higher this past week after some government guidance on the biofuel program and higher energy prices led to large scale buying. There is still plenty of risk that the Trump administration will reverse the recent supportive guidance to renewable fuels and soybean oil demand, but for the moment that is what’s driving firm prices. Also, the recent USDA updates showed another 500 mil. lb. increase in export demand for the 24/25 season as soy oil has been trading at a discount to palm globally. NOPA reported December crush today at higher than expected levels, while soybean oil stocks came in slightly below pre-report estimates and still at 10-year lows.

steady
Canola:

Canola seed futures are lower this week as it remains a close follower of the soybean complex. RBD canola oil basis levels were mostly steady and retain a modest premium to the refined soybean oil market, while uncertainty still persists around what canola oil imports from Canada will look like into Feb/Mar.

steady/Lower
Palm Oil:

Palm oil futures made a new low for the move last week, marking a 15.3% decline from the early December highs. Indian palm oil imports in December fell to a 9-month low of 503,000 MT, while soybean oil imports in Dec were 420,000 MT, a 4-month high as the abnormal discount of soybean oil to palm oil changed buying habits. Total Indian edible oil imports in Dec of 1.19 MMT were the lowest in 3 month and down 25% from November. The Malaysian Palm Oil Board estimated their end of December palm oil stocks at 1.71 million metric tons, down 6.9% from November.

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PRODUCE

PRODUCE

DOWNLOAD THE MARKON FRESH CROP REPORT

higher
Asparagus:

Although prices remain elevated, they are beginning to ease. Peruvian imports are lighter; MX production is preparing to increase. Markon First Crop (MFC) Asparagus is available.

Mexico

  • New crop MFC Asparagus quality is very good to excellent
  • Production out of northwestern Mexico (Caborca) will continue to ramp up slowly over the next month
  • Extra-large and jumbo-size supplies remain limited, but availability is increasing alongside additional harvesting
  • Expect markets to continue to ease over the next two to four weeks as production increases

Peru

  • Stocks (shipped into Miami, Florida) are lighter as yields begin to drop off amid hotter weather
  • Quality is fair and holding up well despite longer transit times, but continues to trend lower
  • With the threat of port strikes avoided for now, marine shipping and receiving schedules will return to normal
higher
Avocados:

The industry remains in a demand-exceeds-supply situation. For the next two weeks, expect extremely low volume and higher prices.

Mexico

  • All sizes remain extremely tight
  • Size and grade substitutions may be requested to fill orders
  • Quality is good; checkerboarding (uneven ripening within a case) has been reported
  • Expect elevated markets and tight supplies through the next two weeks

Colombia

  • Imports will ship into the East Coast through May; these supplies only account for 5% of U.S. demand
  • The crop is currently dominated by small sizes (60- to 84-count fruit)
  • Quality is comparable to that in Mexico; texture is creamy and oil content is high

California

  • Regular inspection schedules will resume in mid-January
  • New crop production will start in late January
  • Once this season begins, supplies will help fill the void from Mexico-grown product
Lower
Bell Peppers:

Green bell pepper volume is peaking in Mexico; prices are low. Red bell supply levels are expected to increase over the next two weeks; markets will inch down. MFC and Markon Essentials (ESS) Green and Red Bell Peppers are available.

Green Bells

  • Mexican supplies are abundant out of the Sinaloa region this week
    • Quality is very good; all sizes are available
    • Markets are much lower at promotable levels
  • Florida has moderate production despite some cold weather
    • Rain may slow harvesting over the next few days
    • Quality is good
  • Expect the overall markets to fall into promotable levels over the next week

Red Bells

  • Sinaloa, Mexico has favorable growing conditions
    • Supplies are sufficient and will increase by the end of January
    • All sizes are available
    • New crop quality is very good
    • The Central Mexico greenhouse season (crossing in South Texas) is winding down; quality is average
  • California’s Coachella season is finished
  • Expect slightly lower prices next week
Broccoli:

MFC Premium Broccoli is being harvested in Arizona, Northern Mexico, and Central Mexico (loading in South Texas).

Arizona and California Desert/California’s Central Coast

  • Markets are steady at low levels in all regions, but are poised to rise following cooler weather
  • While supplies are currently widely available; yields will begin trending lower
    • Lower temperatures and overnight frosts are hindering crown maturity
    • Recent strong winds are dehydrating plants and slowing growth
  • New crop Arizona/California desert region quality is strong; color is consistently green, mechanical damage is minimal, and insect pressure is low
  • Limited production also continues in Santa Maria, California
  • Expect industrywide prices to inch higher alongside rising demand

Mexico

  • Mexican-grown MFC broccoli is available in South Texas; quality is very good
  • Markets are steady to lower this week, but pricing is similar to the Arizona/California desert
  • Expect pricing to remain lower and availability better over the next two to three weeks as domestic markets rise and supplies fall
steady/higher
Cauliflower:

ESS Cauliflower is available; packer label is being substituted as necessary

  • Prices are stabilizing
  • Supplies are shipping out of the Holtville, California and Yuma, Arizona growing regions; Santa Maria, California yields are low
    • Strong winds and colder weather are forecast this week; frost conditions and harvesting delays are possible
    • Low ground temperatures after several consecutive days can slow plant maturity
    • Quality is fairly good, but there is some potential for discoloration, spotting, and bruising next week
  • Weak demand has forced suppliers to disk unused cauliflower heads the past two weeks
  • Markets are projected to inch back up in the next 7-10 days as demand increases and supplies begin to tighten
steady/higher
Cilantro:

Markets are steady at low levels; supplies remain available across several growing regions but will tighten up as January progresses.

  • California growers are harvesting in Oxnard, Holtville, and Santa Maria, while Arizona production is taking place in the Yuma Valley and near Scottsdale; product from Northern Mexico is also available l
  • The Arizona-California desert and Southern California growing regions have experienced persistently strong winds over the last week, with more forecast
    • Markon suppliers continue to shift between growing/sourcing regions to ensure the best quality, however expect to see elevated levels of:
    • Damaged leaves, tip burn, yellowing/early breakdown
  • Prices will range from steady to slightly higher for the next 10-14 days as demand increases
higher
Cantaloupe & Honeydew Melon:

Central American cantaloupe and honeydew melons remain extremely limited due to past storms and cold weather; demand exceeds supply.  

 

Cantaloupe

Central America

  • Stocks are extremely limited
  • Cold weather and sporadic rains are slowing production and delaying replanted growth/secondary harvesting regions
  • Growers are reporting reduced yields and delayed shipments as a result of the flooding brought by Tropical Storm Sara
  • All sizes are tight; size substitutions may be recommended based on availability
  • Markon recommends increased order lead time to maximize coverage
  • Expect elevated markets and tight supplies to continue over the next three to four weeks

Honeydew

Mexican/Central American

  • Mexican supplies (crossing into Nogales, Arizona) will remain tight until new crop production starts in Northern Mexico in March
  • Volume is extremely low
  • Cold weather and sporadic rains are slowing production and delaying replanted growth/secondary harvesting regions
  • Growers are reporting reduced yields and delayed shipments as a result of the flooding brought by Tropical Storm Sara
  • All sizes are limited; size substitutions may be recommended based on availability
  • High prices will persist over the next three to four weeks
steady
Citrus:

Expect steady markets and ample supplies through February.

Oranges

  • MFC and ESS Navel Oranges are available
  • Growers are currently shipping out of Arizona, California, Florida, and Mexico
  • Supplies are dominated by small sizes (113- through 138-count fruit)
  • Expect the overall size structure to even out next month
  • Quality is excellent

Lemons

  • MFC and ESS Lemons are available  
  • Supplies are dominated by small sizes (140- through 165-count fruit)
  • Markets for 95- through 115-count supplies have inched down
  • Quality is excellent
  • Expect steady markets and ample supplies through February
steady
Green Leaf, Iceberg, & Romaine Lettuce:

Despite repeated lettuce ice events, current supplies of green leaf, iceberg, and romaine remain abundant in the Arizona-California desert region.

  • MFC Premium Green Leaf, Iceberg, and Romaine are available; MBA is being substituted as needed
  • Quality is very good
    • Most lots are meeting MFC specifications
    • Some fields are being impacted by excessive dirt in and at the base of heads following strong winds, requiring additional peeling of outer leaves and reduced case weights
    • Minor blistering and peeling are being found in some heads; the prevalence of freeze-related damage will increase in the coming weeks
  • Demand is weak, slowing market increases
  • Expect steady pricing through this week, with markets beginning to inch up next week as continued cold weather and lettuce ice events decrease production.
Lower
Green Onions:

Green onion prices are weak; supplies are plentiful.

  • Ready-Set-Serve (RSS) Washed & Trimmed Green Onions are available
  • Gusty winds with accompanying thunderstorms have remained isolated to the Northeast of Yuma, Arizona and to the south of Baja, Mexico, away from the primary growing region of Mexicali, Mexico
  • Markon will continue to monitor nighttime temperatures for freezing conditions; however, daytime highs remain above the seasonal average which is promoting growth
  • Expect markets to inch higher as demand returns in earnest this month, but to remain relatively steady for at least the next 10-14 days
higher
Imported Stone Fruit:

The imported stone fruit season is underway. Supply levels will increase through January.

Peaches/Nectarines

  • Supplies are limited, but increasing daily
  • Quality is good: sugar levels range from 10 to 12 Brix
  • The season will run through April
  • Expect elevated markets until the domestic season starts in May

Plums

  • Volume is low, yet rising
  • Quality is good: sugar levels range from 12 to 14 Brix
  • The season will run through May
  • High prices will persist until the domestic season starts in May
steady/higher
Mixed Berries:

Cold weather will slow raspberry growth in Central Mexico through next month.

Blueberries

  • Demand is steady
  • Supplies are ample
  • Quality is very good
  • Production has begun to slow in Mexico
  • Peruvian berries are available
  • Chilean shipments have begun arriving to U.S. ports
  • Expect markets to remain level

Blackberries

  • Mexican berry yields are sufficient
  • Supplies are steady
  • Quality is good; soft skins and red cells have been reported
  • Prices are stable

Raspberries

  • Mexican supplies are limited
  • Cooler weather has slowed growth
  • Medium-size berries dominate harvests
  • Quality is good; light color has been reported
  • Expect elevated prices for another four weeks
higher
Pineapple:

Pineapple supplies are expected to remain tight for the next two weeks; prices are high.

  • Recent rain and cloudy weather have slowed fruit growth and reduced yields in Costa Rica
  • All sizes are limited; order flexibility will help with coverage
  • Crownless stocks are the scarcest as most growers focus on packing crowned fruit first
  • Poor road and weather conditions stateside, as well as port congestion, have further tightened day-to-day availability this week
higher
Potatoes:

Idaho’s cold weather will cause delays for the next two weeks, while quality issues in some Colorado sheds are reducing volume. Expect prices to rise in the coming weeks, especially for larger sizes (40-count through 70-count supplies).

  • Colorado supplies are tight; several cellars have been passed over due to pink rot
  • Demand is shifting to Idaho and Washington
  • Size profile is dominated by 80-count and smaller stocks in Idaho
  • Below-freezing temperatures are forecast to persist in Eastern and Southern Idaho over the next two weeks
    • Temperatures need to be 18°F or higher for 5 to 7 hours to haul potatoes from cellars to packing sheds; hauling when temperatures are below 18°F will freeze them
    • Expect reduced production and delayed loading; advanced order lead time is highly recommended for order fulfillment
    • Many suppliers will utilize onsite storage to cover orders
Red and Yellow Potatoes:

Markets are on the rise as several seasons wind down. MFC Red and Yellow Potatoes are available in Idaho, North Dakota, and Wisconsin.  

Idaho

  • Markets for small B and C sizes are climbing due to strong demand
  • Prices for large A sizes are stable
  • Quality is very good
  • Overall prices will increase as demand shifts to Idaho when other seasons end

North Dakota

  • Red prices are up; yellow markets are steady
  • Quality is very good; reds are exhibiting light color
  • Red A No. 2s and yellow B No. 1s are ample

Wisconsin

  • The red season will end next week
  • Yellows will be available until late February; prices will inch up as the season winds down
  • Red quality is good; yellows are exhibiting some dark spots
  • Red B-size supplies are limited

Colorado

  • Red markets are increasing while yellow prices remain steady
  • Quality is good
    • Reds are pale in color
    • Yellows are exhibiting occasional dark spots
  • The red season will wind down over the next six to eight weeks

Michigan

  • Red prices are climbing; yellow markets are holding steady
  • Quality very good; reds are light in color
  • Reds are dominated by A-size stocks; all yellows are abundant

Washington

  • Both red and yellow markets are increasing due to strong demand and tight supplies
  • Quality is very good; color is deep

Florida

  • Supplies will be available start shipping the last week of January
  • Excellent quality is expected due to optimal growing conditions
  • Elevated markets will start the season
higher
Seedless Lemons:

California seedless lemons are harvested and shipped year-round.

  • External color and size structure mirror seeded lemons
  • Prices are higher; supplies are ample
  • Quality is excellent
Strawberries:

Cold weather is delaying berry maturation in all growing regions, resulting in light-colored fruit.

Santa Maria, CA

  • The fall crop has passed its peak; volume is downtrending
  • Size ranges from small to small-medium (20-28 berries per one-pound clamshell)
  • Quality is good; white shoulders and light bruising are issues
  • The spring season is getting started; fruit size is large (9-12 berries per one-pound clamshell)
  • Expect markets to remain fairly steady

Oxnard, CA

  • MFC Strawberries are available
  • Winter seasonal volume has passed its peak; the spring crop will get underway soon
  • Size currently ranges from medium to large (20-24 berries per one-pound clamshell)
  • Quality is good; color is deep red and flavor is sweet
  • Expect stable prices

Mexico (into South Texas)

  • The season is at its peak; yields are high
  • Size currently ranges from medium to large (22-26 berries per one-pound clamshell)
  • Quality is good; small size, white shoulders, and misshaped berries have been reported
  • Markets are high due to cooler weather

Florida

  • MFC Strawberries are available
  • Cool weather has slowed growth
  • Supply levels and size are increasing
  • Berries range from small-medium to medium in size (24-28 per one-pound clamshell)
  • Quality is good
higher
Squash:

Squash prices are rising; supplies are snug due to cold weather. MFC Zucchini and Yellow Squash supplies are available.

  • Supplies are tight due to recent cold weather in Western Mexico; yellow squash varieties are more susceptible to low temperatures
  • Florida yellow squash is also limited due to both low temperatures and limited winter plantings
  • Overall quality is good
  • Expect higher prices over the next two weeks, especially for yellow squash
Tomatoes:

Prices are falling as growers begin harvesting new crop fields in Southern Florida and Western Mexico. Overall volume is increasing. MFC Tomatoes are available.

Round

  • East Coast production is extremely limited due to past hurricanes
    • South Florida is starting to harvest post-hurricane tomato plantings
    • The Central Florida season will start next week
    • Florida is expecting temperatures as low as 40 degrees next weekend (January 10 and 11) which could slow growth slightly but shouldn’t affect current supplies
  • Stocks are increasing in Western Mexico after the holiday despite cool weather; quality is excellent
  • Production is wrapping up in Central Mexico and Baja; quality is fair
  • Expect lower prices over the next two weeks

Roma

  • East Coast stocks are increasing as production begins in Southern and Central Florida
  • Volume is increasing in Western Mexico; however, it’s slightly behind round tomato yields
    • New crop quality is very good
    • All sizes are available
  • Prices will decrease over the next two weeks

Grape & Cherry Varieties

  • Volume is increasing in Southern Florida
  • Supplies are abundant in Western Mexico
  • Expect lower prices over the next two weeks
  • Excellent time to promote grape tomatoes
From the Fields: Desert Region Weather Update The Arizona-California desert growing region experienced several days of strong wind gusts reaching 45mph from Tuesday, January 7 through Friday, January 10, resulting in light lettuce ice. The forecast now calls for morning lows to dip into the mid-20°s to mid-30°s over the weekend, creating conditions for more lettuce ice to develop. Markon inspectors are monitoring crops closely for short- and long-term quality challenges that include:
  • Dehydration
  • Dirt on the product
  • Discoloration
  • Epidermal blister/discolored peel
  • Fringe burn
  • Light case weights
  • Loss of vibrancy
  • Shorten shelf-life
  • Wind damage
From the Fields (update): Impacts of Desert Wind and Ice MFC Lettuces are limited in the desert growing region; Markon Best Available is being substituted as needed. Over the past several days, the Arizona/California desert growing region has experienced strong winds, with gusts of up to 30 mph, followed by cold mornings with lows in the upper 20°s to mid-30°s. Although winds are expected to subside, their impact combined with freezing morning temperatures, is already being felt. Commodity and value-added lettuce and tender leaf items are most sensitive to the above-mentioned conditions and are now exhibiting some of the following after-effects:
  • Dehydration
  • Decreased case weights
  • Dull appearance/loss of vibrancy
  • Elevated levels of dirt
  • Epidermal blistering and peeling
  • Shortened shelf-life potential
  • Wind damage
  • Yellowing leaves
Lettuce ice conditions remain in the forecast through the middle of next week, making this cold snap a significant event that will impact desert region supplies for several weeks to come. Markon inspectors are working with growers to select the best product for Markon orders.   From the Fields: Widespread Lettuce Ice in the Desert Region The Arizona/California desert growing region will be experiencing the coldest week of the winter growing season so far this week. Widespread moderate-to heavy lettuce ice this is developing this morning after morning lows dip into the low 30°s. Harvesting delays of 3-4 hours are being reported for most desert row crop items. Loading delays can also be anticipated. Daytime highs will be in the low-to mid-60s, but cold mornings with lettuce ice conditions will persist throughout the week, and possibly into early next week. Markon inspectors are monitoring supplies and field conditions and will update further as needed. Please click here to view a Markon Live from the Fields video regarding the Arizona/California desert region’s most significant cold snap of the winter season so far.
  • Widespread, moderate-to-heavy lettuce ice is expected throughout this entire week in all Arizona and California desert growing areas
  • Harvesting delays of three to four hours are being reported; loading delays can also be expected
  • This significant freeze event will have lasting effects on the quality of many desert row crop items
  • Lettuces and tender leaf items are the most susceptible to freeze-related quality and shelf-life challenges
  • Apart from quality, plant growth will also be affected as ground temperatures decrease this week
  • Markon inspectors are monitoring conditions and will update further as needed
 
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